Peace Index — September 2010
Prof. Ephraim Yaar and Prof. Tamar Hermann
The peace index was compiled under the auspices of Tel Aviv University’s
Evans Program in Mediation and Conflict Resolution and the Israel Democracy
Institute. Field work: Dahaf Polling Institute
Q: What is the source of the security quiet?
There is a great difference in the assessment of the Jewish public and the
Arab public as to the reasons for the quiet in the security realm. A
majority of Jews (55%) attributes this Israel’s firm hand policy, and a
minority of only 18% attributes this to a Palestinian decision to reduce
violence. Conversely, in the Arab public only a minority (18%) attributes
the quiet to Israel’s policies, whereas 36% attribute it to a Palestinian
decision to refrain from violence. The other respondents in both groups did
not present a clear opinion.
Q: What is the chance of the outbreak of a third Intifada?
A majority of the Jewish public (63%) believes that the chances are high.
The Arab public, conversely, is divided equally (44%) between those who
expect a third Intifada to break out in the near future and those who do not
foresee such an imminent danger.
Q: What will be the impact of peace on Jewish-Arab relations within Israel?
Over half the Jews and Arabs hold the pessimistic opinion that
even if a peace agreement should be signed, no dramatic improvement will
ensue in relations between the two publics in Israel.